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Ridiculously Resilient Ridge Will get Bigger Due to Climate Change?

Ridiculously Resilient Ridge Will get Bigger Due to Climate Change?


Alex Wierbinski's picture

By Alex Wierbinski - Posted on 14 December 2019

 

ECO-CRASHING WEATHER CHANGES

Blocking Event Scaling Law
Blocking Event Scaling Law Chart, by P. Hassanzadeh at Rice University.
Rice University fluid dynamicists have found a mathematical formula called a scaling law that relates the size of atmospheric blocking events to the width, latitude and strength of the jet stream, all of which are well-studied and measured, by P. Hassanzadeh at Rice University.

 

Warming Rapidly Changing the Jet Stream Triggering More Warming by Ridging

Stalled Weather Patterns Will get Bigger Due to Climate Change,
Rice University, November 12, 2019.

MAIN POINTS

Blocking Ridge Intensification Happening Now
"Climate change will increase the size of stalled high-pressure weather systems called "blocking events" that have already produced some of the 21st century's deadliest heat waves."

"Atmospheric blocking events are middle-latitude, high-pressure systems that stay in place for days or even weeks. Depending upon when and where they develop, blocking events can cause droughts or downpours and heat waves or cold spells. Blocking events caused deadly heat waves in France in 2003 and in Russia in 2010."

Size of Events
"The question nobody had asked is whether the size of these events will change or not. And the size is very important because the blocking events are more impactful when they are larger. For example, if the high-pressure system becomes bigger, you are going to get bigger heat waves that affect more people, and you are likely going to get stronger heat waves."

The Perfect Model
"The goal was finding a scaling law, a mathematical formula that described the size of a blocking event using variables that climate scientists already study and understand."

"...a simple formula that relates the area of blocking events to the width, latitude and strength of the jet stream, all of which are well-studied and measured."

"...the scaling law predicted changes in the size of future winter blocking events in comprehensive climate model simulations with remarkable accuracy."

17% Size Increase with Continued Heating
"...found that the area of blocking events in the northern hemisphere will increase by as much as 17% due to anthropogenic climate change."

 

The Bottom Line

It's Here
The Bottom Line is that the climate and weather forces driving the formation of the Ridiculously Resilient Ridge and The Blob that have tortured the West Coast (and freaked out Sierra weather) over the last few decades are already well established and quite active, and are being steadily supplemented, supercharged really, by our continued growth and development driving these events, the elements of our climate breakdown, forward. That's pretty well-known.

Past & Future
Now we know how much larger these increasingly frequent events will be has now been quantified at, "17%," by the research above, while the genesis of the radical Arctic climate changes driving these Jet Stream alterations, which are triggering these extreme ridge-driven weather events we've seen increasing on the West Coast over the last thirty years or so, is explored through the research below.

 

Directly Related

Sept 2018
Arctic Roots of Increasing Extreme Weather

Dec 2017
Climate Change News: The Big Blocking Ridge an Existential Threat

Dec 2017
Freak Weather News: The Ridiculously Resilient Ridge, What It Is, Changes it’s Undergoing, Where it's Going

Dec 2017
Ice News: Traditional Arctic Weather Cycle Gone, Life & Weather Consequences just getting started

 

Feeling Blobish?

Nov 2019
Massive 2019 Blob Forms

Nov 2018
October 2018: The Blob is Back?

Oct 2018
British Colombia Heat Wave Continuing: The Blob Hides in the Deep

March 2018
2018 NOAA WEST COAST FISHERIES REPORT, & History of the Blob

Nov 2017
Climate News: The Blob Returneth? A Rerun of Drought Pattern?
 

 

Indirectly Related

March 2018
Polar Vortex Effect Further Quantified, Causes & Effects

Jan 2019
Polar Vortex Splits Under Warming Stratosphere

 

Around the World

Jan 2019
Rossby Waves Tie Together Extreme Rainfall Events Around the World

 

Jan 2018
Eco Crash News: Arctic Warming affects Brit & Euro Weather

 

Diverse Consequences

Sept 2017
Extreme Weather Increasing

 

 

 

ECO-CRASH NEWS

News of Man & Nature, November 2019

 

 

 

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climate change, warming, affected, weather, blocking ridge, blocking event, prediction, growth, jet stream, change, Ridiculously Resilient Ridge, Polar Vortex, Arctic climate change, extreme weather, The Blob

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