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Water Expert's Long Term Views: There Never Was Enough Water in the Colorado River

Water Expert's Long Term Views: There Never Was Enough Water in the Colorado River


Alex Wierbinski's picture

By Alex Wierbinski - Posted on 15 October 2019

 

COLORADO RIVER WATER, HOOVER DAM, HISTORY & FUTURE

Hoover Dam Intake Towers Exposed by Low Level of Lake Mead
Hoover Dam's Lake Mead Intake Towers Exposed, egorshitikov, Pixaday.
Trend lines for the Colorado River & Her Reservoirs are pointing downward rapidly as illegal populations in the Southwestern US continue to explode. Image by egorshitikov, Pixabay.

 

Water Expert's Long Term Views: There Never Was Enough Water

From “The Great Mistake” to “Science Be Dammed,”
JFleck at Inkstain, October 9, 2019.

MAIN POINTS

Sibert's Pre-Construction Analysis
"A retired Army officer and engineer, he headed a panel chartered by Congress in 1928 to review the feasibility of the..." Hoover Dam Project.

The Question
"...does the Colorado River really have enough water to honor the allocations in the legislation Congress was about to approve?"

Sibert
"It is quite probable that the compact attempts to apportion more water than the actual average undepleted flow of the river."

Born to Fail
"...in the pages of the Sibert board’s report was a clear message. The nineteenth-century droughts … meant the Colorado River had less water than the boosters had imagined when they crafted the 1922 Colorado River Compact and the federal legislation now before the Congress to ratify the compact and launch construction of what would become the Hoover Dam."

"The report’s math was inescapable. Once reservoir evaporation and water for Mexico were taken into consideration, any realistic effort to estimate the river’s flow left too little water to meet the allocations carved out in the 1922 compact and about to be ratified by Congress in federal statute."

When it was built Sibert showed that the Hoover Project could not fulfill its long term water obligations.

Consequences
"...there was too much momentum in Congress and the nation, and Sibert’s careful analysis was ignored. We live today with the consequences."

Aerial view of Hoover Dam, near Boulder City, Nevada. Carol Highsmith.
Aerial view of Hoover Dam, near Boulder City, Nevada. Carol Highsmith.

Book Promo
Expert Analysis
The above is from an article in J Fleck at Inkstan's website from Chapter 6, “The Sibert Report: A Lost Opportunity,” of his and co-author Eric Kuhn's upcoming new book,
Science Be Dammed: How Ignoring Inconvenient Science Drained the Colorado River, out next month from the University of Arizona Press.

 

Sound Familiar?
Our Industrial Echoes of the Anasazi Past

July 2017
Idiocracy in Action
"Uncertainty High," and that our Water Availability Plans are likely "Substantially Wrong."

 

Long History of Rising & Falling Southwestern Desert Populations
Long History of Rising & Falling Southwestern Desert Populations, Skeeze, Pixabay.
Another one, ours, appears to be, "biting the dust," so to speak, in the drying and warming deserts of the Southwestern US. Image by Skeeze, Pixabay.

 

Southwestern History
Past as Prologue
Why Did the Anasazi Collapse?
Jeff Posey, September 8, 2015.

 

Grand Canyon Indians,
Grand Canyon Trips, 2018.

 

Bottom Line

Today we are ignoring the shrinking output of the whole Colorado River System as we stuff millions and millions of foreigners, mostly illegal foreigners, into rapidly growing megacities in the rapidly drying and warming deserts of the Southwestern United States.

These megacities are already deeply dependent on the rapidly shrinking water supplies of the clearly diminishing water productivity of the Colorado River System, as these populations grow far beyond our present and future water capacities.

Rapidly expanding populations in the face of rapidly shrinking resources is just plain stupid.

 

Lake Mead Water Level

Today: 1,083.27 Feet.

Lake Mead Shortage Level: 1,075 feet.

 

Current Situation on the Colorado
Aug 2018

2018: Analysis and Context of Impending 2020 Lake Mead Emergency Declaration

 

Lower Colorado River Operations

 

 

Recent Colorado River News & Research

Jan 2019
On the Water-Starved Colorado River, Drought Is the New Normal

 

Dec 2018
Water News: Colorado River in Decline LA Must Shrink Now

 

July 2018
ARIDIFICATION OF THE SW: Colorado River, Lakes Mead & Powell to Be Below 50%

 

Jan 2018
Eco-Crash News, Rockies Broken: A Desert Full of "Consumers" Depend on Colorado River Water

 

Jan 2018
Water & Climate, Draining the Land & The Sky, Colorado River, Lake Mead, & The Rockies: A BROKEN SYSTEM

 

 

How & Why we are, "Here,"
and what to do about these unfolding interlocked crisis...

Water, "Whoops."

Contemporary Water Insanity

 

 

Fish-Ice-Oceans-Water

News of Man & Nature, October 2019

 

 

 

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water, distributions, Colorado River, system, Hoover Dam, Lake Mead, apportions, allocations, impossible, unobtainable, Sibert report

 

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