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Nitrogen Runoff & Algal Blooms Increasing Due to Global Warming sticky icon

 

NASTY WATER & CLIMATE CHANGE

Massive Lake Erie Algal Bloom of July 2018
Lake Erie Algal Bloom, July 2018, For NOAA, by Aerial Associates Photography, Inc, by Zachary Haslick.
For NOAA, by Aerial Associates Photography, Inc, by Zachary Haslick

 

Nitrogen Runoff & Algal Blooms Increasing Due to Global Warming

Changes in Rainfall and Temperatures have Already Impacted Water Quality,
Carnegie Institution for Science, April 24, 2019.

MAIN POINTS

“Changes in temperature and precipitation have already impacted the amount of nitrogen introduced into U.S. waterways...”

“This can lead to toxin-producing algal blooms or low-oxygen dead zones called hypoxia. Over the past several summers, dead zones and algal blooms in lake and coastal regions across the United States have received extensive news coverage.”

Proof in the Past
“...they looked backward to analyze long-term trends in nitrogen runoff going back to the 1980s.”

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Paris Pact: Goals Not Obtainable under Current Endless Global Growth Model sticky icon

 

ECO-CRASH NEWS

Paris Pact: Goals Not Obtainable under Current Global Endless Growth Model

New studies highlight challenge of meeting Paris Agreement climate goals,
American Geophysical Union, April 22, 2019.

MAIN POINT

Failure: Pact Does Not Work
“Even if U.S., China, the European Union and India increased their contributions to limit emissions, the rest of the world would need to drop to virtually zero emissions by 2030 in order for the planet to reach its goal of limiting the increase in temperature from pre-industrial times to 1.5 degrees Celsius.”

Scientists on Crack Pipe
Grasping for Straws

“Peters and his co-authors argue that in order to meet the goals of the Paris Agreement, leading countries need to develop low, zero or even negative carbon emissions energy technologies that can be deployed at scale in the developing world.”

 

Bottom Line

Complete Admission of Failure
The main point seems to be that their own, “pact,” goals are not even possible or attainable under their own pact’s framework, that their worthless pact is in fact, worthless.

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Spring 2019: Upper Basin of Colorado Water System Flush in the Shadow of the Rockies sticky icon

 

WATER

Hoover Dam Creating Lake Mead
Hoover Dam from the Air, Carol Highsmith
The Foundation of What Cannot be Sustained. Image by Carol Highsmith.

 

Colorado Water System Flush in the Shadow of the Rockies

Healthy Snowpack In The Colorado River Basin Is Improving Reservoirs Across Multiple States,
CPR, April 22, 2019.

MAIN POINTS

Big Year
“Above-average snowpack in the upper Colorado River basin not only means a good forecast for Colorado, but for all seven states in its river system.”

“...snowpack in the basin through the winter ended up being 130 percent of average.”

“Lake Mead — the largest U.S. reservoir in Nevada and Arizona — could rise to 128 percent of its normal level.” (Lake Mead Elevation Chart)

One Big Year
“But one good year cannot reverse the effects of nearly two decades of severe drought. Current total Colorado River System storage is approximately 45 percent of full capacity.”

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Colorado River 2019 DCP Deal to Save Lake Mead Agreed sticky icon

 UPDATED
APRIL 18, 2019

1> IID sues MWD over DCP & Salton Sea

2> What Drought? Unlimited Water Use-Growth Expanding as Fast as Possible

 

Original Article

OCEANS, ICE, WATER, & FISH

Lake Mead's Crashing Level
Lake Mead's Crashing Level, Central Arizona Water Conservation District, by Tom McCann

Notice a trend here? Death of a River, Central Arizona Water Conservation District, by Tom McCann, Big Chart.

 

Colorado River Deal to Save Lake Mead Agreed

Imperial, the Salton Sea, and the Colorado River Drought Contingency Plan,
Jfleck, March 24, 2019.

MAIN POINTS

Lake Mead
Colorado System Basic Problem

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GRACE Gravity Survey Measures the Masses of Climate Changes sticky icon

 

ASTROPHYSICS, GEOGRAPHY, & CLIMATE

The Satellite Twins GRACE
The satellite twins GRACE with the Earth's gravitational field, AIRBUS/GFZ.
The twin satellites GRACE revealing the Earth's gravitational field.

 

Gravity is our Friend. Until it Isn't

What Earth's Gravity Reveals about Climate Change,
GFZ GeoForschungsZentrum Potsdam, Helmholtz Centre, April 16, 2019.

MAIN POINTS

GRACE
“Gravity Recovery And Climate Experiment”

Launched
March 17, 2002

Surprise Duration
“...the mission lasted a good 15 years - more than three times as long as expected.”

“...recorded the Earth's gravitational field and its changes over time in more than 160 months.”

Ice Sheets and Glaciers

“...produced the first direct measurement of ice-mass loss from ice sheets and glaciers ever.”

Man-Made Ice Loss
“...between April 2002 and June 2017 Greenland lost about 260 billion tons of ice per year, Antarctica about 140 billion tons.”

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Eco Crash News, 2018: Observing Our Rapidly Shifting Seasons and Ecosystems sticky icon

 

 

 CHANGING WEATHER, 

&
CHANING WORLD,
NEWS

2018


Last
Updated Daily 

December 16,  2018

 

Next
2019 Climate Change News

 

 The transitions between seasons, their basic character, their timing, temp, and humidity transitions have all changed. The directions from which the seasonal winds blow have changed. These changes are reverberating through and disrupting webs of life that wrap around the whole planet.

Blooming, feeding, mating, and migration patterns of all living things are changing around the world.

Here we track the obvious and the subtle human affects on Nature. The club and the knife, if you will.

 

 

Next
2019 Climate Change News

Earlier
October through December 2017

 

 

Alex Wierbinski's picture

Temperature Dataset Correlation Supports Grim Climate Models

 

ECO-CRASHING NEWS

Temperature Dataset Correlation Supports Grim Climate Models

NASA study Verifies Global Warming Trends,
IOP Publishing, April 16, 2019.

MAIN POINTS

Compared Main Temperature Data Sets
Compared 15 years of AIRS satellite temp data against 15 years of GISTEMP station-based temp data, and, “found a high level of consistency between the two datasets over the past 15 years.”

AIRS
“AIRS data reflects skin temperature at the surface of the ocean, land, and snow/ice covered regions.”

GISTEMP
“Surface-based data are a blend of two metre surface air data anomalies over land, and bulk sea surface temperature anomalies in the ocean.”

Confirmed
Hottest Years Ever
"Both data sets demonstrate the earth's surface has been warming globally over this period, and that 2016, 2017, and 2015 have been the warmest years in the instrumental record, in that order.“

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Normal Operations of an Antarctic Glacier Speeding Up

 

OCEANS, ICE, WATER, & FISH

Glacial Mechanics of Pine Island Glacier
Pine Island Glacier, NASA Earth Observatory animation by Lauren Dauphin, using MODIS data from NASA EOSDIS/LANCE and GIBS/Worldview.
NASA Earth Observatory animation by Lauren Dauphin, using MODIS data from NASA EOSDIS/LANCE and GIBS/Worldview.

 

Normal Operations of an Antarctic Glacier Speeding Up

The Wide View of a Shrinking Glacier: Retreat at Pine Island,
NASA Earth Observatory, April 9, 2019.

MAIN POINTS

Thinning & Retreating Faster
“...a shrinking outlet glacier is usually doing three things: thinning (mostly at the seaward edge), retreating, and accelerating. The acceleration stretches the glacier, causing the thinning and likely making the ice more prone to crevassing (cracking) “upstream.”

Shrinking
“...over the long term at Pine Island, you can see that the ice front has retreated inland, which means the calving rate has increased more than the glacier has accelerated. “This underlies our concern that retreating outlet glaciers can ‘shrink’ rapidly.”

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Grim News about The Future of the Great Northern Hemisphere Heat Wave of 2018

 

ECO-CRASHING NEWS

Grim News about The Great Northern Hemisphere Heat Wave of 2018

Simultaneous Heatwaves Caused by Anthropogenic Climate Change,
ETH Zurich, April 10, 2019.

MAIN POINTS

Great Northern Hemisphere Heat Wave of 2018

“Multiple places around the world experienced heat so severe that people died of heatstroke, power generation had to be curtailed, rails and roads started to melt, and forests went up in flames. What was truly sobering about this heatwave was that it affected not only one area, such as the Mediterranean region, but several across the temperate zones and the Arctic simultaneously.”

One Reason: Humans
“...the only explanation of why heat affected so many areas over several months is anthropogenic climate change.”

"Without the climate change that can be explained by human activity, we wouldn't have such a large area being simultaneously affected by heat as we did in 2018."

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Ice Research: Half of Euro Glaciers Gone by 2050, the remainder by 2100

 

OCEANS, ICE, WATER & FISH

Gorner Glacier
Gorner Glacier, by M. Huss, European Geosciences Union.
Gorner glacier at the end of the summer of 2017. The glacier is located in the Monte Rosa massif and is the second largest glacier of the European Alps. Wiki. By M. Huss, European Geosciences Union.

 

Euro Glaciers Gone by 2100

More than 90% of Glacier Volume in the Alps could be Lost by 2100,
European Geosciences Union, April 9, 2019.

MAIN POINTS

Euro Glaciers
"...all glaciers in the Alps, around 4000."

Half Gone by 2050
"...from 2017 to 2050, about 50% of glacier volume will disappear, largely independently of how much we cut our greenhouse gas emissions."

"The Alps would lose about 50% of their present glacier volume by 2050 in all scenarios."

Post 2100
"After 2050, the future evolution of glaciers will strongly depend on how the climate will evolve."

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Alaska Skips Mid-Winter to Experience Late Spring Conditions in March

ECO-CRASHING NEWS

Extreme Land Surface Temp Anomalies, March, 2019
Widespread Extreme Heat
Extreme Land Surface Temp Anomalies, March, 2019, NASA Earth Observatory images by Lauren Dauphin.
Darker red colors depict areas that were hotter than March's average temps between 2000-2012; blues were colder than average. Note the widspread deep darkness.
NASA Earth Observatory images by Lauren Dauphin. Big.

 

Alaska Skips Mid-Winter to Experience Late Spring Conditions in March

Alaska Hit With a Hot March,
NASA Earth Observatory, April 9, 2019.

MAIN POINTS

Weird Weather Across Alaska

Records Across Alaska
“The average temperature for March 2019 set records at 10 of 19 ground-based weather stations in Alaska."

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Computer Model: More CO2 than ever before in 3 million years

 

ANTHROPOCENE-CRASHING CLIMATE & ECOLOGY

Breaking Out of Nature’s Boxes:
The Past Shows Big Trouble Ahead

More CO2 than ever before in 3 million years, shows unprecedented computer simulation,
Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research (PIK), April 3, 2019.

MAIN POINTS

Ascertained
“...coevolution of climate, ice sheets, and carbon cycle over the past 3 million years.”

Big Human Changes
“CO2 greenhouse gas amounts in the atmosphere are likely higher today than ever before in the past 3 million years.”

It Matters
“...we can now show in computer simulations that changes in CO2 levels were a main driver of the ice ages, together with variations of how the Earth's orbits around the sun, the so-called Milankovitch cycles.”

“...a strong sensitivity of the Earth system to relatively small variations in atmospheric CO2. As fascinating as this is, it is also worrying.”

Beyond Nature’s Limits
"It seems we're now pushing our home planet beyond any climatic conditions experienced during the entire current geological period, the Quaternary."

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The Farce Continues: India, China, & Brazil Exempt from, Environmental “Pacts,”

ENVIRONMENTAL DESTRUCTION, FORESTRY DIVISION

 

Forest Restoration Agreement Map
 A World of Opportunity (World Resource Institute, 2011).

Restoration opportunity map across 43 tropical and sub-tropical countries. Data source: Minnemeyer, S., et al. Bonn Challenge: A World of Opportunity (World Resource Institute, 2011). Big Map.

 

The Farce Continues: India, China, & Brazil Exempt from, “Pacts,”
&
Cheating Forest Pact all the Way to Environmental Destruction

 

Restore natural forests to meet global climate goals,
University College London, April 2, 2019.

MAIN POINTS

The Failing Farce
“International plans to restore forests to combat global warming are flawed and will fall far short of meeting 1.5C climate targets...”

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Warming Arctic Deeply Affecting North Hemisphere Weather

CHANGING WEATHER & CLIMATE: THE ARCTIC

Changing Status of Arctic is Deeply Affecting North Hemisphere Weather

Study shows arctic warming contributes to drought,
University of Wyoming, March 27, 2019.

MAIN POINTS

“When the Arctic warmed after the ice age 10,000 years ago, it created perfect conditions for drought.”

“According to new research led by a University of Wyoming scientist, similar changes could be in store today because a warming Arctic weakens the temperature difference between the tropics and the poles. This, in turn, results in less precipitation, weaker cyclones and weaker mid-latitude westerly wind flow -- a recipe for prolonged drought.”

“Our analysis shows that, when the Arctic is warmer, the jet stream and other wind patterns tend to be weaker.”

“...when temperatures have changed in similar ways to today (warming of the Arctic), the mid-latitudes -- particularly places like Wyoming and other parts of central North America -- dried out.”

Alex Wierbinski's picture

News of Climate & Ecological Change, The Spring of 2019

 CHANGING WEATHER, 

&
CHANING WORLD,
NEWS

2019

Updated Daily 

April 23,  2019

 ECO-CRASHING NEWS

SPRING of 2019

The transitions between seasons, their basic character, their timing, temp, and humidity transitions have all changed. The directions from which the seasonal winds blow have changed. These changes are reverberating through and disrupting webs of life that wrap around the whole planet.

Blooming, feeding, mating, and migration patterns of all living things are changing around the world.

Here we track the obvious and the subtle human affects on Nature. The club and the knife, if you will.

 

Previous Reports-Research

Winter of 2019

2018 Climate News

October-December 2017

 

 

 Updated

SPRING
2019

Alex Wierbinski's picture

The End of Cold: McMurdo Dry Valleys Unique Environment Threatened

CLIMATE CHANGING OUR AMAZING PLANET

The End of Cold
McMurdo Dry Valleys Unique Environment Threatened-Changing

Update
McMurdo Dry Valleys in Antarctica.
 McMurdo Dry Valleys LTER.
Fantastic photo credit: McMurdo Dry Valleys LTER, full-sized.

 

Researchers analyze biodiversity patterns in Antarctic Dry Valleys,
Virginia Tech, March 20, 2019.

MAIN POINTS

Who
"...international collaborative team that analyzed biodiversity patterns in the McMurdo Dry Valleys of Antarctica."

What
"...understanding of the whole (Dry Valleys) community, from bacteria to multicellular invertebrates."

"...analyzing the physical and geochemical drivers that predict biodiversity patterns."

Alex Wierbinski's picture

Warm Seas Scatter Fish

OCEANS, FISH, & CLIMATE

Fish Already Suffering

 

Big Old Trout Fishing Tilden Lake
Tilden Lake Trout fishing as I hike by on the Tahoe to Yosemite Trail across North Yosemite.
Hiking the Tahoe to Yosemite Trail around Tilden Lake in North Yosemite. This Big Old Trout was fishing for insects, mostly, but it'd consider alternatives...

 

Warm seas scatter fish,
University of California - Santa Barbara, February 28, 2019.

MAIN POINTS

Massive Fish Study
“...study looked at historical abundance data for 124 species in 38 regions, which represents roughly one-third of the reported global catch. The researchers compared this data to records of ocean temperature and found that 8 percent of populations were significantly negatively impacted by warming, while 4 percent saw positive impacts. Overall, though, the losses outweigh the gains.”

Alex Wierbinski's picture

High CO2 Levels can Destabilize Marine Layer Clouds

 

ECO-CRASH NEWS

Cloudless Coastal Sunrise
 Is this Our Future? Image by Patty Jansen on Pixabay.
Is this our future? Image by Patty Jansen on Pixabay

 

Loss of Clouds Could Cook Planet

High CO2 Levels can Destabilize Marine Layer Clouds,
California Institute of Technology, February 25, 2019.

MAIN POINTS

CO2 Driven Cloud Loss Triggering
Massive Temp Spike
“At high enough atmospheric carbon dioxide (CO2) concentrations, Earth could reach a tipping point where marine stratus clouds become unstable and disappear, triggering a spike in global warming, according to a new modeling study.”

“...could raise surface temperatures by about 8 Kelvin (14 degrees Fahrenheit) globally--may occur at CO2 concentrations above 1,200 parts per million (ppm)...”

“...our results show that there are dangerous climate change thresholds that we had been unaware of...”

Alex Wierbinski's picture

Our Frightening Groundwater Future of, Fright, Flight, & Fight

Updated
Feb 25, 2019, below
 

WATER, GROUNDWATER, & CLIMATE CHANGE

The Subsidence Pole
The Subsidence Pole, by Dr. Polard & NOAA.
Visible Effects of Groundwater Draw, caption, credit to Dr. Polard, shown, & USGS

Our Frightening Future of, Flight, & Fight

Environmental 'time bomb' warning for world's groundwater reserves,
Cardiff University, January 21, 2019.

Main Points

A Global Picture
“...a global insight in to what will happen should our groundwater systems start to see changes in their replenishment.”

Long Response Time
“...in more than half of the world's groundwater systems, it could take over 100 years for groundwater systems to completely respond to current environmental change.”

Alex Wierbinski's picture

North American City Climates will shift Hundreds of Miles in One Generation

THE CRASHING-SHIFTING CLIMATE NEWS

Will Shift? Will Shift Further? Has Been Moving Rapidly

 Apparent Geographic Climate Shift by 2080s
 Apparent Geographic Climate Shift by 2080s, Matthew Fitzpatrick/University of Maryland Center for Environmental Science.
Average urban dweller is going to have to drive more than 500 miles to the south to find a climate similar to their home city by 2080. Credit to Matthew Fitzpatrick/University of Maryland Center for Environmental Science.

Interactive Geographic Climate-Shift Map

 

Climate of North American cities will shift hundreds of miles in one generation,
University of Maryland Center for Environmental Science, February 12, 2019.

MAIN POINTS

Traveling in Place
“In one generation, the climate experienced in many North American cities is projected to change to that of locations hundreds of miles away—or to a new climate unlike any found in North America today.”

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