You are hereclimate change

climate change


Alex Wierbinski's picture

North American City Climates will shift Hundreds of Miles in One Generation sticky icon

THE CRASHING-SHIFTING CLIMATE NEWS

Will Shift? Will Shift Further? Has Been Moving Rapidly

 Apparent Geographic Climate Shift by 2080s
 Apparent Geographic Climate Shift by 2080s, Matthew Fitzpatrick/University of Maryland Center for Environmental Science.
Average urban dweller is going to have to drive more than 500 miles to the south to find a climate similar to their home city by 2080. Credit to Matthew Fitzpatrick/University of Maryland Center for Environmental Science.

Interactive Geographic Climate-Shift Map

 

Climate of North American cities will shift hundreds of miles in one generation,
University of Maryland Center for Environmental Science, February 12, 2019.

MAIN POINTS

Traveling in Place
“In one generation, the climate experienced in many North American cities is projected to change to that of locations hundreds of miles away—or to a new climate unlike any found in North America today.”

Alex Wierbinski's picture

Eco Crash News, 2018: Observing Our Rapidly Shifting Seasons and Ecosystems sticky icon

 

 

 CHANGING WEATHER, 

&
CHANING WORLD,
NEWS

2018


Last
Updated Daily 

December 16,  2018

 

Next
2019 Climate Change News

 

 The transitions between seasons, their basic character, their timing, temp, and humidity transitions have all changed. The directions from which the seasonal winds blow have changed. These changes are reverberating through and disrupting webs of life that wrap around the whole planet.

Blooming, feeding, mating, and migration patterns of all living things are changing around the world.

Here we track the obvious and the subtle human affects on Nature. The club and the knife, if you will.

 

 

Next
2019 Climate Change News

Earlier
October through December 2017

 

 

Alex Wierbinski's picture

Remote Petermann Glacier Uncorking Greenland Ice Once Thought Stable

OCEANS, ICE, WATER, & LOTS OF CHANGE

Petermann Glacier's Broken Tongue
ASTER satellite scene acquired shortly after the 2012 calving event on 2012/07/21. Right: Sentinel-2 acquisition on 2018/07/31 indicating newly developing fractures in the terminus region. (Photo Credit to NASA & EU: ASTER; Sentinel-2)
Left: ASTER satellite scene acquired shortly after the 2012 calving event on 2012/07/21. Right: Sentinel-2 acquisition on 2018/07/31 indicating newly developing fractures in the terminus region. (Photo Credit to NASA & EU: ASTER & Sentinel-2)

  

Cracks herald the calving of a large iceberg from Petermann Glacier,
Alfred Wegener Institute, Helmholtz Centre for Polar and Marine Research, February 6, 2019.

MAIN POINTS

Petermann Cracked
“Cracks in the floating ice tongue of Petermann Glacier in the far northwest reaches of Greenland indicate the pending loss of another large iceberg.”

Alex Wierbinski's picture

Melting Ice, Glaciers, & Ice Caps: Estimating Dates for Reaping the Whirlwind(s)

OCEANS, ICE, & OUR WARMING CLIMATE

Estimating Dates for Reaping the Whirlwind

Melting ice sheets may cause 'climate chaos' according to new modelling,
McGill University, February 6, 2019.

MAIN POINTS

Massive Effects
“...the water from melting ice sheets off Greenland and in the Antarctic will cause extreme weather and unpredictable temperatures around the globe.”

This Research
“..the first to simulate the effects, under current climate policies, that the two melting ice sheets will have on ocean temperatures and circulation patterns as well as on air temperatures by the year 2100.”

3 to 4 Degrees by 2100
“According to our models, this melt water will cause significant disruptions to ocean currents and change levels of warming around the world.”

Fastest Sea Level Increase to Come
2065-2075
“...simulations suggest that the fastest increase in the rise of sea levels is likely to occur between 2065 and 2075. Melting ice sheets will affect water temperatures and circulation patterns in the world’s oceans, which will in turn affect air temperatures – in a complex ice-ocean-atmosphere feedback loop.”

Alex Wierbinski's picture

Brit Forecast Suggests Earth's Warmest Period on Record is ON DECK

ECO-CRASHING NEWS: HOTTER & HOTTER

Brits See Hot Times Ahead

Met Office Calls for Record Temps to 2023
Read 'em & Weep, Cowboys...
 Met Office Calls for Record Temps to 2023, By The Met Office, UK.
Met Office Calls for Record Temps to 2023, By The Met Office, UK. Original.

 

Forecast suggests Earth's warmest period on record,
University of East Anglia, February 6, 2019.

MAIN POINT

What
“...the publication of the latest Met Office decadal forecast to 2023.”

Alex Wierbinski's picture

2018 NOAA GLOBAL CLIMATE ANALYSIS

 

2018 NOAA GLOBAL CLIMATE ANALYSIS

OMG-LEVEL WARMING
 NASA's Scientific Visualization Studio/Kathryn Mersmann.
NASA: “Earth's long-term warming trend can be seen in this visualization of NASA's global temperature record, which shows how the planet's temperatures are changing over time, compared to a baseline average from 1951 to 1980. The record is shown as a running five-year average.”

Big Version. Good Work Credits to: NASA's Scientific Visualization Studio-Kathryn Mersmann

 

Trend Line of Continuous Extreme Heating Driving Climate & Weather Changes

2018 was 4th hottest year on record for the globe,
The U.S. experienced 14 billion-dollar weather and climate disasters.
NOAA, February 6, 2019.

 

NASA report

 

MAIN POINTS

Alex Wierbinski's picture

Elevation Keys Diverse Pika Population Responses to Changing Climate

SMALL SIERRA NEVADA MAMMALS

American Pika
American Pika, Ecological Society of America, Photo credit to, courtesy of, Shana Weber.
 With their sensitivity to overheating, pikas are an indicator species for how climate change may affect mountain-dwelling wildlife.
Ecological Society of America, Photo credit to, courtesy of, Shana Weber.

 

Elevation Keys Diverse Pika Population Responses to Changing Climate

Pika Survival Rates Dry Up with Low Moisture,
Ecological Society of America, February 4, 2019.

MAIN POINTS

Alex Wierbinski's picture

Ocean Ecosystems Under Siege: Sea Star Decline Reverberates

CLIMATE CHANGING OCEAN LIFE

Ocean Ecosystems Under Seige

Sunflower Star
Underwater photograph of sick and dying sunflower star, by Ed Gullekson
Underwater photograph of sick and dying sunflower star. Image by Ed Gullekson

 

Key sea star predator wiped out by disease and abnormally warm waters,
American Association for the Advancement of Science, January 30, 2019.

MAIN POINTS

End of the Sea Star
“From California to British Columbia, the abundance of sunflower starfish - an important predator in the Northeast Pacific - declined dramatically in both nearshore and deep waters from 2013 to 2015...”

Wasting Disease
“From 2013 to 2015, an event known as the sea star wasting disease (SSWD) killed massive numbers of starfish along North America's west coast, from Alaska to Mexico.”

Hot Water
“...report an association between the sunflower star decline in shallow waters, and warmer sea surface temperatures.”

Alex Wierbinski's picture

Polar Vortex Sliding off Top of Planet, Arctic Weather Plunges into North America

CLIMATE CHANGING FREAK WEATHER

Polar Vortex Deep-Freezes North America
2019 Broken Polar Vortex Effects, 2-meter air temps, credit to MODIS.
NASA's view of the effects of the Polar Vortex breakdown, via MODIS, Caption 
SCALE
Darkest Blue on Left: Negative 40 C. Darkest Red on Right: Positive 40 C.
 

UPDATED
Videos

Polar Vortex Sliding off Top of Planet

Arctic Weather Plunges into North America,
NASA Earth Observatory, January 30, 2019.

MAIN POINTS

Broken Polar Vortex
“...disturbances in the jet stream and the intrusion of warmer mid-latitude air masses can disturb this polar vortex and make it unstable, sending Arctic air south into middle latitudes.”

Alex Wierbinski's picture

Warming Seas to Radically Increase Frequency of Extreme Storms by 2100

CLIMATE CHANGING OCEANIC EXTREMITY

Extreme Weather Increasing in all its Aspects

Nature Forges a Magnificent Anvil Storm
 UCAR.
An "anvil" storm cloud in the Midwestern U.S. Credits: UCAR,  full image.

Wild Weather

Warming Seas May Increase Frequency of Extreme Storms,
NASA, January 28, 2019.

MAIN POINTS

“...warming of the tropical oceans due to climate change could lead to a substantial increase in the frequency of extreme rain storms by the end of the century.”

Rising Temps
SST up 4.8 by 2100

“...accepted climate models project that with a steady increase of carbon dioxide in the atmosphere (1 percent per year), tropical ocean surface temperatures may rise by as much as 4.8 degrees Fahrenheit (2.7 degrees Celsius) by the end of the century.”

Bringing
60% Rise in Extreme Storms

“...the frequency of extreme storms to increase by as much as 60 percent by that time.”

 

Alex Wierbinski's picture

Arctic Melting Exposing Ancient Terrain Unseen for 40,000 Years

 

ICE, OCEANS, FISH, & WATER

Arctic Melting Exposing Ancient Terrain
Glacial retreat in the Canadian Arctic, Photo Credit UCB.
"Glacial retreat in the Canadian Arctic has uncovered landscapes that haven’t been ice-free in more than 40,000 years and the region may be experiencing its warmest century in 115,000 years," Photo Credit UCB.

 

A landscape unseen in over 40,000 years,
University of Colorado at Boulder, January 25, 2019.

MAIN POINTS

Baffin Island
“...radiocarbon dating to determine the ages of plants collected at the edges of 30 ice caps on Baffin Island, west of Greenland. The island has experienced significant summertime warming in recent decades.”

Rapid Arctic Warming
“The Arctic is currently warming two to three times faster than the rest of the globe, so naturally, glaciers and ice caps are going to react faster...”

Alex Wierbinski's picture

On the Water-Starved Colorado River, Drought Is the New Normal

WATER

The Party’s Over…But, Our Leaders are too Greedy to Stop Stealing...

Colorado River
Upper & Lower Basins map
Upper & Lower Colorado River Water System, USGS.
Upper & Lower Colorado River Water Systems, credit to the fantastic USGS.

The Party is Coming to an End

On the Water-Starved Colorado River, Drought Is the New Normal,
YaleEnvionment360, January 22, 2019.

MAIN POINTS

Mega Drought Here
"The region is locked in a 19-year-long drought, the most severe in 1,250 years. (recent research) And it may continue much longer. The tree ring data shows that there have been numerous multi-decadal or mega-droughts in the basin in the last 1,000 years."

"...The crunch is here,” Harris said. “It’s here, and it will stay here. We will never be out of the woods, we are in the woods forever."

Alex Wierbinski's picture

2018 Sea Surface Temperatures Hottest Ever

GLOBAL OCEANS

Hottest Sea Surface Temperatures Ever

Record-breaking ocean temperatures point to trends of global warming,
Institute of Atmospheric Physics, Chinese Academy of Sciences, January 16, 2019.

MAIN POINTS

“...the year 2018 is the hottest year ever recorded for the global ocean, as evident in its highest ocean heat content since 1950s in the upper 2000m.”

“This heat increase in 2018 relative to 2017 is ~388 times more than the total electricity generation by China in 2017, and ~ 100 million times more than the Hiroshima bomb of heat. The years 2017, 2015, 2016 and 2014 came in just after 2018 in order of decreasing ocean heat content.”

“...the vast majority (more than 90%) of global warming heat is deposited in the world's oceans.”

Already Damaging
"The new data, together with a rich body of literature, serve as an additional warning to both the government and the general public that we are experiencing inevitable global warming. The ocean and global warming have already taken place and caused serious damage and losses to both the economy and society,"

Alex Wierbinski's picture

Rapid Arctic Warming, 2019: Unique Arctic Atmosphere & Local Amplification Cited

ARCTIC OCEANS

Rapid Arctic Warming: Unique Arctic Atmosphere & Local Amplification Cited

THE ARCTIC AMPLIFICATION FACTOR
 Institute for Basic Science.
Arctic Amplification Factor of observed surface temperatures relative to the global mean surface temperature (from 1951-2017), showing...a clear enhancement of warming In the Arctic region and across Siberia, Northern Canada and Alaska. Credit: Institute for Basic Science (IBS) .
 

New study reveals local drivers of amplified Arctic warming,
Ulsan National Institute of Science and Technology(UNIST), January 19, 2019.

MAIN POINTS

Extreme Heat
“The Artic experienced an extreme heat wave during the February 2018. The temperature at the North Pole has soared to the melting point of ice, which is about 30-35 degrees (17-19 Celsius) above normal.”

Alex Wierbinski's picture

Polar Vortex Splits Under Warming Stratosphere

 

2019 UPDATE
POLAR VORTEX UPDATE

1-13-19
FORECAST

Wet and Stormy Week for all California; Dry Dipole Pattern to Follow

MAIN POINTS

"...the consensus: the recent stratospheric sudden warming (SSW) event, followed by a breakdown of the stratospheric polar vortex, is now slowly beginning to “couple” with the troposphere below (i.e., the layer where all our weather happens)."

BLOCKING RIDGE
"As this occurs, lobes of cold polar air become displaced to lower latitudes and induce a very wavy pattern in the jet stream–setting up persistent ridges (blocks) and downstream troughs in preferred locations. Unfortunately, California and the West Coast are often at the longitude of a preferred ridge when there is a significant perturbation to the hemispheric flow pattern–and that appears to be the main cause of the projected upcoming ridge pattern. There are currently indications this pattern could persist for 4 weeks or more"

More
The Polar Vortex Has Fallen Apart, Which is Likely to Unleash a Much Colder End to January,
Weather Channel, January 16, 2019.

 

 

Alex Wierbinski's picture

Our Frightening Groundwater Future of, Fright, Flight, & Fight

WATER, GROUNDWATER, & CLIMATE CHANGE

The Subsidence Pole
The Subsidence Pole, by Dr. Polard & NOAA.
Visible Effects of Groundwater Draw, caption, credit to Dr. Polard, shown, & USGS

Our Frightening Future of, Flight, & Fight

Environmental 'time bomb' warning for world's groundwater reserves,
Cardiff University, January 21, 2019.

Main Points

A Global Picture
“...a global insight in to what will happen should our groundwater systems start to see changes in their replenishment.”

Long Response Time
“...in more than half of the world's groundwater systems, it could take over 100 years for groundwater systems to completely respond to current environmental change.”

100 Year Lag Time
“...groundwater systems take a lot longer to respond to climate change than surface water, with only half of the world's groundwater flows responding fully within 'human' timescales of 100 years.”

Alex Wierbinski's picture

2x- to 3x Heatwave Increase Frequency & Severity in UK Since 1878

CLIMATE CHANGED NEWS & RESEARCH

IT’S HERE: Visible Climate Consequences of WAY Too Many Humans

Two- to three- fold increase in heatwave occurrence and severity seen directly in UK temperature,
University of Warwick, January 21, 2019.

MAIN POINTS

“...A two to three-fold increase in heatwave activity in the United Kingdom since the late 19th century has been identified...”

“...frequency, duration, and severity have increased.”

“This work quantifies the link between more frequent observations of hotter days, and increased heatwave occurrence rates, intensity and average duration”

Specifics
“...they found a two- to three-fold decrease in the average return period (the average time between two successive occurrences) of a six day long heatwave and a two-to three- fold increase in the duration of a heatwave with an average five year return period. The temperature threshold of a six day long heatwave with five year return period has increased, to being typically above 28C.”

Trends
“...we see heatwaves becoming more intense and severe on average.”

 

HEATWAVES
& Extreme Weather, Generally

Alex Wierbinski's picture

2019 Greenland Melting Expanding & Accelerating Rapidly

GLOBAL CLIMATE CROSSING TIPPING POINTS

Greenland Iceberg
Greenland Iceberg, Credit to Ohio State University
Greenland Iceberg, Credit to Ohio State University

Greenland Melting Expanding & Accelerating

Greenland ice melting four times faster than in 2003, study finds,
Ohio State University, January 21, 2019.

MAIN POINTS

“The patterns...show an alarming trend--by 2012, ice was being lost at nearly four times the rate that prevailed in 2003.”

“Greenland is melting faster than scientists previously thought--and will likely lead to faster sea level rise--thanks to the continued, accelerating warming of the Earth's atmosphere, a new study has found.”

“The findings could have serious implications for coastal U.S. cities, including New York and Miami, as well as island nations that are particularly vulnerable to rising sea levels.”

New Source
“This acceleration was focused in southwest Greenland, a part of the island that previously hadn't been known to be losing ice that rapidly.”

Alex Wierbinski's picture

2019: Length and Depth of Global Warming Climate Change: Let the Past be Our Guide? I Hope Not...

 

CLIMATE CRASHING NEWS

Cores of Ancient Climate Change
 Core Sample of PETM from Maryland, Credit USGS.
Core Samples of PETM from Maryland, Credit USGS & Penn State.

Let the Past be Our Guide? I Hope Not...

Ancient climate change triggered warming that lasted thousands of years,
Penn State, January 22, 2019.

MAIN POINTS

Why PETM Lasted So Long
“...new evidence of a climate feedback that could explain the long duration of the Paleocene-Eocene Thermal Maximum (PETM), which is considered the best analogue for modern climate change.”

Too Late, You Frigging Greedy Fools…
“The findings also suggest that climate change today could have long-lasting impacts on global temperature even if humans are able to curb greenhouse gas emissions. ”

Big-Assed Feedback Loop
"We found evidence for a feedback that occurs with rapid warming that can release even more carbon dioxide into the atmosphere."

Alex Wierbinski's picture

PERMAFROST DISASTER GROWING ALMOST EVEYWHERE

OCEANS, WATER, ICE, & PERMAFROST

First Global Assessment of Status & Rates of Different Zones of Changing Permafrost

Holy Alaska!
UAF researcher Vladimir Romanovsky poses in a place where permafrost has thawed, causing a surface disruption. UAF photo.
UAF researcher Vladimir Romanovsky poses near Fairbanks, Alaska in a place where permafrost has thawed, causing a surface disruption. UAF photo from UAF permafrost research.

 

PERMAFROST DISASTER GROWING ALMOST EVEYWHERE

The pace at which the world's permafrost soils are warming,
Alfred Wegener Institute, Helmholtz Centre for Polar and Marine Research, January 16, 2018.

MAIN POINTS

Everything Warming
“..all regions with permafrost soils the temperature of the frozen ground at a depth of more than 10 metres rose by an average of 0.3 degrees Celsius between 2007 and 2016 - in the Arctic and Antarctic, as well as the high mountain ranges of Europe and Central Asia.”

Powered by Drupal, an open source content management system

Search

Latest News: RSS FEED

Syndicate content

Support Tahoe to Whitney

The Tahoe to Whitney Trail Guide and Magazine are walked, written, funded, and supported by my efforts, with the help of kindred spirits and my sister.

We offer valuable Trail Guide, Skills, Weather, News and Analysis.

My goal is to get you out to see your natural and social potential. Help me keep this unique resource accessible and expanding towards its potential. We've a lot of miles to cover ahead...

I NEED HELP!
If you feel these efforts are valuable, I'm cordially inviting you to support them, here:

 

 

I am currently working towards publishing the completed guide between Tahoe & Yosemite as an e-book, while converting this "blog" to a fine magazine format. You will like the results! Help Tahoe to Whitney reach its potential!

 

Why Support Tahoe to Whitney?
Mission Statement